For our final analysis of the season, we're going to show you the following:
- The breakdown of best offenses, defenses and net point differentials per division. As always, stats below have removed forfeit games from the math, so what you see on the charts may not match the website (intentionally). We tried to color each team's data by their official jersey colors, but half this league apparently uses the same colors so it's not perfect (sorry Cunning Stunts for your sexist pink coloring!)
- A graph of average point differentials per game for each division with a similar "Favorites, Contenders, Pretenders" logic we've used in previous seasons (if you're winning games by an average of 7+ PPG, you're a Favorite in green; if you're losing by an average of 7+ PPG, you're a Pretender in red; all other teams are yellow in the middle; these are not OUR judgments on who falls into each category, it's strictly based on the math of your team's point differentials). For what it's worth, in the last five seasons that we've been showing these graphs, we've had 19 eventual division champions classified as "Favorites", 11 as "Contenders", and exactly zero as "Pretenders".
- A quick twitter sized recap of the division heading into playoffs, and then identifying which teams are "overrated" and "underrated" in each group. Note that these last two categories are based purely on what we see in the scores and stats, NOT our own personal feelings of players on each team (we might personally think Jabronies are overrated, but if the underlying numbers say their team is underrated, that's where we'll include them below) so TRY not to be offended thinking the "website is being mean". We're just reading numbers off a website, man. Relax.
And away we go!
Division 1
The Headline: Three teams are "favorites", three teams are good enough to play spoiler, and two teams can start planning for next season.
Underrated: D1 was the ONLY division this year whose standings finished in the EXACT order that their point differentials would predict. In other words, everyone is EXACTLY in the right order with none of the fluky stuff we'll see in some other divisions, so there aren't any real "statistical" outliers. That being said, the path to the championship is very likely to run through the top three teams in the division, which are Sticky Bandits, Legends and Losing Streak (in whatever order you favor them). More than likely, how you fare against the top teams will determine how far you go in the playoffs. Although most teams understandably struggled against the division leaders, Eyes Downtown nearly beat them all. Losing Streak squeaked by on a successful two point conversion defense. Legends won by only 6 in a tight game. And the Sticky Bandits needed a 22 point comeback just to catch up in their game. Eyes Downtown didn't win any games against the "big three", but they were the only ones who were actually close. If a full roster in the playoffs gets them an extra 7 points per game, that might be enough to beat two of those teams in the Semis/Finals.
Overrated: That being said, if we're measuring success in D1 by your ability to beat one of the top teams, we'll take Tight Ends in Motion as the most "overrated" team this session. They're fifth in the standings so just a hair behind Eyes Downtown on paper, but where Eyes Downtown was battling the top teams to single score losses, Tight Ends were losing against those same opponents by 14 (Losing Streak), 26 (Sticky Bandits) and 29 (Legends). They also went 0-2 against Eyes Downtown, their first round opponent on Saturday, with losses by 11 and 8. All of TEIM's wins this season came against teams below them in the standings... and they're unlikely to face any of those teams again this season.
Division 2
The Headline: Untouchaballs have the best team in the division, with a few flawed contenders good enough to beat them on their best day. Practice Squad is also here.
Underrated: Sometimes the best team in the division is STILL the most underrated, and that's the case here with Untouchaballs. Here's a graph of the difference between the average point differentials of each division's top team and their second best team (in other words, how much BETTER is the best team than the second best team in each division?)

Untouchaballs have the widest lead of any division leader right now, almost a full 10 PPG better than the next best team. These guys aren't just favorites, they're STRONG favorites. Has anyone on the website mentioned yet that
they've also won 7 in a row?
Overrated: It has to be No Punt Intended for the most overrated team here, right? Their record looks almost identical to Untouchaballs on the surface which makes you think they're almost on the same level. Nope. NPI is only +2.38 PPG, exactly 10 PPG less than Untouchaballs and not even as good as the Mavericks who NPI are two wins ahead of in the standings. It's true that No Punt Intended beat Untouchaballs in the first game of the season by a single point, but the rematch was a much more one-sided affair. We're not down on NPI by the way, and we fully expect them to make the D2 Finals game. But we aren't expecting them to win based on the stats.
Division 3
The Headline: Last Fall we wrote "the TSL's most wide-open division by far. No dominant teams and no trash teams means anything can (and probably will) happen." We were right (the 8 seed won!) so let's stick with that.
Underrated: We ALMOST picked Let's Get Reccked because they're in sixth place despite being one of only three teams in D3 with a positive point differential. Almost... but the clear "underrated" team in D3 has to be Itches and Ohs. They went 4-4 this season, but two of their losses included a forfeit and a game where their QB (and frankly defensive MVP) was suspended. They're 4-2 with their "real" squad with their only losses coming by 6 and 10 points, and they're one of only two teams to actually beat the Jabronies this session. Would it even be considered an upset if they win the championship at this point?
Overrated: There are no obvious candidates in the numbers for a truly "overrated" D3 team, but we'll take the Wanderers here based on the fact that it's been over a month since they last won a game. After a 4-1 start they've limped to the finish with three consecutive losses, including one last week to an ALSO ice-cold Bullet Club. Does momentum mean anything to a team that has played over a decade and been through ups and downs a hundred times before? Maybe not. Maybe they come out and smoke Itches and Ohs on Saturday and show us that they've been holding back an extra gear lately. But it's tough to win games when your defense is giving up nearly 40 PPG like the Wanderers have the past three weeks, so if they want to go far in the playoffs they'll either have to shore up that defense or ask Frank to work miracles on offense.
Division 4
The Headline: Four dominant teams headline the D4 race, with BAADies improving enough to have a real shot. THK, Cobblestone and Creekers will not be playing in the Finals.
Underrated: We almost said Puckett All-Stars here because they have the third best point differential per game in the whole TSL, and somehow they're only in third place in their own division (which is really, really hard to pull off). But it's tough to choose them as "underrated" when they've been beaten twice by the first place team who seems to really have their number. There is one D4 team with a better claim to being underrated though... and that is Passing While Intoxicated. Their first round matchup is against BAADies, who they beat earlier this season. Assuming no other shocking upsets (and yes, it would be shocking if Buffalo Vice, Stunts or Puckett lost in the first round) it would be PWI vs Buffalo Vice in the semi-finals... another team that PWI beat earlier this season. That would leave PWI to face the winner of Puckett All-Stars vs Cunning Stunts in the Finals, a matchup Puckett decisively won in the regular season. So if all goes the way it did earlier this season, we would have a PWI vs Puckett Finals... which would be a rematch of the game that never finished this season (and was marked a tie) after a PWI player went down with a medical emergency. We have no idea how well PWI would do against Puckett in a full game, but they're the ONLY team outside of Buffalo Vice that can make the claim that they haven't lost to Puckett yet this season. What better place to see how they stack up than the D4 Finals?
Overrated: The Cunning Stunts were our first thought when we started researching "underrated" teams above. They're on a 5-0 streak since a 1-2 start, and not ONE of those games was particularly close, so they've got to be pretty great, you would think. But then we looked into the detail more and saw that the scores are a bit misleading. Two of those five wins are against the Creekers (including one via forfeit) and everyone beat the Creekers. Travis Henry's Kids seemed like a quality win at the time, but in hindsight we can see that they were starting to implode a bit by then and a four game losing streak would follow. Yes, the Stunts had quality wins against Passing While Intoxicated and BAADies, and those do matter. But in all likelihood, the Stunts will have to go through Puckett All-Stars and Buffalo Vice back-to-back to win the D4 championship... and they lost by a combined 94-43 in those two matchups earlier this year. The Stunts are a GREAT team, but if the top contenders match up well against them, it could be too much of a disadvantage to overcome.
Division 5
The Headline: Two teams loom large over the rest of the division, and everyone else hopes to play spoiler.
Underrated: TMA is in last place in the division, despite being fifth in point differential. Yes, they're still negative, and yes, they're not particularly great on either side of the ball right now. But they're not "last place" bad (at least not statistically) so we choose them as the most underrated team in D5. Also, they're the ONLY team this season to beat top-rated GUCCI, their first round matchup in the playoffs, so they've already shown they can win this matchup once. Come From Behind would also have been a great choice here, because they're #1 everywhere in our charts except the standings, but TMA is the better option.
Overrated: Goatsack has a better offense than only Not So Sticky. They're the worst defense in the division AND the worst point differential per game by a good amount too. But somehow they're sixth in the standings and one lucky game away from a .500 record? We're not sure how that worked out. Statistically, they were the worst team in the division despite the fact that they willed themselves to three wins this season, so we're going to take them as our most "overrated" team.
Division 6
The Headline: Southside dominates, Two Tuddies are their biggest threat, and a few other teams also probably have a chance.
Underrated: If you read the Itches and Ohs write-up in D3 above, you can pretty much apply the same thinking here. GrASS Eaters were 5-3 this session, but two of their losses were when Steve Moser was unable to play. Who did GrASS Eaters play in those weeks? Southside and Two Tuddies, of course. So we have NO idea what would happen if Moser had played the top teams in this division. As it is the Eaters are third in the division with +6.5 PPG including those two lopsided losses. If we throw them both out, that would improve to +16.5 PPG, right up there among the elite of D6. Anyone who thinks that Southside vs Tuddies in the Finals is a foregone conclusion needs to think again, and watch out for the Moser clan.
Overrated: Sausage McMuffins are third in their division and fourth in point differentials. That alone doesn't make a team "overrated" of course. It is a bit concerning though that they're 0-3 in their last three games after a 5-0 start. Yes, one of those games was a forfeit to Two Tuddies, and another was an annihilation at the hands of Southside that same week when they were scrambling for subs. But the other was a loss to the winless Mighty Drunks, and even before that during their five game winning streak, the McMuffins weren't exactly killing teams (Pit Harade was their only win this year by more than one score). The McMuffins will be fine. We suspect they'll beat Blitzkrieg on Saturday to advance to the Semi-Finals. But the numbers aren't showing us that they're the third best team in this division, and it will likely be an uphill struggle for them once they have to play the top guys in Championship week.
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Top Ten Best and Worst Lists for the 2023 Spring Season
The division analysis above is the real meat and potatoes of this article, but in case you're curious how you stack up against teams in OTHER divisions, here are the top ten (and bottom ten) teams in the entire TSL for offensive points per game, defensive points per game, and average point differential per game. As always, forfeit games are excluded:
What did we learn from this?? The magic numbers for us are always 20 and 40. Nearly every team in this League averages between 20-40 PPG both offensively and defensively. If you're higher than 40 offensively or lower than 20 defensively, you're doing an amazing job. If you're lower than 20 offensively or higher than 40 defensively... you're probably not winning too many games. This season we had exactly ONE team crack the 40 PPG barrier on offense, so congrats to Puckett All-Stars, our Spring 2023 scoring champs. Here is how they compare with scoring champions from the previous six seasons:

So if Puckett were the BEST offense, who were the worst? This season we had four teams fail to make it to 20 PPG on offense (Creekers, Back That Pass Up, Scared Hitless and Not So Sticky). Those teams, unsurprisingly, went a combined 4-28 this season.
Then on the other side of the ball, there were four defenses that held opponents to under 20 PPG (Southside, Untouchaballs, Two Tuddies and Come From Behind). Those teams, again unsurprisingly, went a combined 27-5. It's pretty easy to win when the other team doesn't score (that's the kind of insightful analysis you come to this website for, right?).
There was only one team this session that allowed more than 40 PPG defensively and that was the 0-8 Creekers, who cracked both the "failed to score 20 PPG on offense list" and the "failed to hold opponents under 40 PPG on defense list". It feels like we beat up on the Creekers a lot here, but that's just because we enjoy pointing out statistical anomalies. So here's a pro-Creekers stat for their team: guys, you are nowhere NEAR as bad as the Replacements were last year! The Fall 2022 season's punching bag team was 0-9, averaged only 10.8 PPG on offense (barely HALF of what Creekers are scoring) and allowed 48.0 PPG on defense. Where the Creekers were outscored by 21.7 PPG, the Replacements were outscored by 37.3 PPG. So you see, it could have been a lot worse!
Besides the "40/20 Clubs", what else do we see from the best and worst units in the League? Southside and Sticky Bandits finished as the only two teams to make the Top Ten Best lists in every category, while Practice Squad, Pit Harade, Goatsack!, Creekers, Back That Pass Up and Scared Hitless all made the Top Ten Worst lists in every category. And BAADies and Not So Sticky were the only teams to make one Top Ten Best and one Top Ten Worst list.
Our final observation from these charts is that Two Tuddies averaged a +15.57 margin of victory each week. In other words they pretty much won most weeks by... two tuddies (sorry, not sorry).
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All-Time Championship Statistics
A couple sessions ago we compiled a list of every TSL champion in League history and devised a ranking system to see who the "best teams of all time" were. This was exhausting to research and put together, but it's now very simple to update once a session, so that's what we've done here. The timing feels right to update you all on this now JUST before playoffs so we can remind you what you're chasing here... co-ed football immortality. Here are the current immortals:
THAT part is objective - the champs are the champs, and we'd like to think history will remember their achievements for 1,000 years to come (history classes will likely debate what exactly the "Tommy Hughes Experience" was). This next part though is subjective: we then attempted to compare the relative strength of each division's championships to come up with a ranking system (a D2 title is harder to win than a D4 title) and this is what we landed on:
- A D1 championship is our baseline since it's the best a team can do. Let's make that worth 100 points.
- A D2 title is worth, at BEST, 49% of that, since two D2 titles don't quite equal a D1 title (you can argue it should be LESS than 49%, but we've made the choice to weight lower divisions as heavily as reasonably possible here). 49 points for a D2 title.
- A D3 title should be worth 49% of THAT, so about 24 points for each D3 championship.
- Every subsequent division is worth 49% of the previous one, so D4 is worth 11 points, D5 is worth 5 points, and D6 is worth 2 points.
- Indoor championships aren't currently worth a point (though we may revised this in the future). With apologies to DILFS, Jelly Beans and Sticky Bandits, Winter sessions are often used to make new teams and play with new people. No team should be penalized in the rankings for doing that instead of entering their usual squad.
It's an arbitrary system of course, but it's the one we chose. So here is the updated list of your "greatest champions of all time" going into the Spring 2023 playoffs (active teams are highlighted below):
We debated making a change to the math above so that subsequent championships in the same division would be worth less the second time around. After all, is it fair that Puckett can catch All We Do is Quinn in the rankings by winning their third D4 title this session? Shouldn't they move up at some point? But for now we decided to leave it as is.
So where does that leave us today? No one is going to catch Public Enemy at the top any time soon, but Legends can jump from 4th to 2nd if they win this session, pulling even with Green & Associates. Tight Ends could jump from 8th to 3rd, Eyes Downtown from 9th to 4th, and Sticky Bandits from 13th to 8th.
Puckett All-Stars is nowhere near Public Enemy in the overall rankings, but they CAN tie them for most TSL Championships of all-time if they win a fifth this season. Given how well they're playing, they have a pretty great shot at it too.
Sticky Bandits and Practice Squad both have the opportunity to become the first team in TSL history to win a championship in four different divisions. Of course the Bandits are 8-0 and Practice Squad is 0-8, so one team probably has slightly better odds than the other.
Bottom line, people remember champions, not the teams who come in second place, so immortality can only be found by winning it all. Good luck!